Why did AUD fluctuate in 2022?

In 2022, there was a fluctuation in the price of AUD, with ongoing global crises affecting the market significantly. The RBA said that Australia had a floating exchange rate, “meaning the movements in the Australian dollar exchange rate are determined by the demand for, and supply of, Australian dollars in the foreign exchange market”.

What drives the Australian AUD's performance in 2023?

As mentioned, the key drivers for the AUD's performance are interest rates and inflation data. Although the RBA’s monetary policies were overshadowed by the ultra-aggressive US Fed and global recession concerns in 2022, the duration of the current Australian rate hike cycle will be critical for the AUD forecast for 2023 and beyond.

Why did the Aud fall in June?

The AUD recovered against the USD in June reaching $0.687 but since then it's hit a new low for the year at 0.634 USD. According to the Commonwealth Bank, "The main reason for the fall in AUD is the fall in commodity prices. China's Two Sessions meetings did not deliver policy stimulus that we expected to support metal prices."

How will the Aud perform in the future?

It's extremely difficult to predict how any currency pair will perform in the future. Inflation, interest rate hikes and the threat of a recession all have the potential to impact currency values here and overseas, while economic developments in China can also have a significant effect on the AUD's performance.